• Home
  • Overview
  • What is ...
    • Division of Labor
    • The Economy
    • Recession/Depression
    • The Target Inflation Rate
    • The Federal Reserve
    • Treasury General Account
    • The Federal Deficit
    • The National Debt
    • Linear & nonlinear income
  • Target Inflation Rate
    • What causes Inflation?
    • Why target a rate?
    • How is inflation lowered?
  • The Federal Deficit
    • Inflation with $0 deficit
    • Inflation if $5T deficit
    • Debt with $0 deficit
    • Debt with $5T deficit
  • Recession/Depression
    • What causes recession?
    • What prevents recession?
  • FAQ
    • How did Hamilton do it?
    • Money Supply & Inflation
    • How to control inflation?
    • One true inflation rate?
    • Are taxes inevitable?
    • Reduce the national debt?
    • Why a national debt?
    • The first interest loans?
    • The 1078 AD Debt Amnesty
    • Why social security tax?
    • The Money Lifecyle
    • Economy through the Arts?
    • What is Boom/Bust?
    • About supply & demand?
    • From barter to fiat
    • How is money created?
    • Money is the Ledger?
    • How Fiscal Policy Works
    • What is bitcoin?
  • Diagrams
    • Fiat, Commodity, & Barter
    • The Federal Reserve
    • Deficit !=> Debt
    • Income Rise => Price Rise
    • Scribble the Economy
    • Federal Funding
  • References
    • TGA funds the government
    • New money runs an economy
    • Prices rise with spending
    • ... but not gov spending
  • Get Involved

The Deficit Cannot Be Used To Calculate Or Predict Debt

Here the deficit is $0 because federal spending equals federal taxes, but the US debt has increased by $2T.  It increased by $2T through Treasury Bills.


This diagram shows a $2T "deficit" in banks borrowing from the Federal Reserve to account for the $2T debt, but the debt might also come from activities like selling stocks and then buying Treasury bonds.

Here the deficit is $2T, but the US debt increase is only $1B.


For a $2T deficit to cause no adverse inflation nor debt increase then the money was channeled into niche economies (art, stocks, etc.) that do not affect supply chains of the common economy, or blocked from consumer economies (linear wages), or distributed to hundreds of millions of people preventing a rise in income inequality.

Here there is a $2T surplus, but the US debt has increased by $1T.

Here there is a $2T surplus, but the US debt has increased by $1T.  It increased by $1T through Treasury Bonds.


This diagram shows a $4T "deficit" in banks borrowing from the Federal Reserve to account for $1T debt, $1T OMO, and $2T Treasury surplus.  The surplus could also come from a wealth tax funded by selling stocks which would have no source on this flow diagram.

source

Copyright © 2025 Economy Answers - All Rights Reserved.


Powered by

This website uses cookies.

We use cookies to analyze website traffic and optimize your website experience. By accepting our use of cookies, your data will be aggregated with all other user data.

Accept